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Unemployment Now Becoming A Principal Reason for Rising Foreclosures

unemploymentResearch by Moody’s Economy.com predicts that in 2009 1.8 million borrowers will lose their home to foreclosure.  This figure rises from 1.4 million homeowners in 2008.  Moody is a leading independent provider of economic, financial, country, and industry research.  Moody attributes the increase in foreclosure rate to the rise in unemployment. At the start of the housing crisis in 2007, the unemployment rate was about 4.6%. Last month it reached 9.4%.  Many believe it reach 10% by the end of the year.  This unemployment figure does not account for those self-employed individuals unable to collect unemployment, those that have a reduced wage, and those that have not given up. Other experts believe the true unemployment figure to reach closer to 15%.  In San Diego unemployment is predicted to hover around 11-12%

 As the start of the housing crisis, homeowners that had subprime loans were the first to lose their homes.  Now unemployment is the biggest factor driving foreclosures today.  ”It’s a much harder nut to crack, unemployment,” said Mark Calabria, director of financial regulation studies at the Cato Institute. “It’s much easier to bash lenders than to create jobs.” 

 In the first quarter of 2009, the prime loans rather than subprime loans accounted for the largest share of foreclosures. This shift is due almost entirely due to unemployment. Hope Now, a group of mortgage lenders backed by the government, has established a committee to look at how to best help unemployed homeowners facing foreclosure. One strategy involves creating new types of loan modifications. “We are going to be seeing more foreclosures because of prolonged unemployment,” said Rep. Barney Frank (D-Mass.), chairman of the House Financial Services Committee. “These are people who weren’t in trouble and wouldn’t be in trouble if they hadn’t lost their job.”  The government has yet to reveal what this new type of loan mod would entail.

Choices for Homeowners Facing Foreclosure

Many people facing financial hardship in San Diego find they are unable to make their mortgage payment, along with other debt.  Once a homeowner is late on their mortgage, the bank’s collections department will begin to call.  Generally at this point, solutions are sought.

Here are a few choices for a homeowner in San Diego:

1. Loan Modification

2. Short Sale

3. Short Pay-Refi

Which direction that is sought all depends upon the current financial sitatuation of the homeowner, and the equity position of the home itself.

Consider the following questions:

1.  What is the home currently worth?
2.  What is owed on the mortgage? – are you significantly upside down?
3.  Are you currently employed or have some source of income?
4.  What are the 5, 10, 15 year plans for the house?

With these questions in mind, we can guide you though your choices to determine what is the best direction for you. 

Simply pick up the phone and call us at 1 (619) 631-4546.

Selling Your Home When You Are Upside-Down in a Short Sale Could Save You $500,000

Don’t we all love the home we live in?   Our kids are in established schools, we have lots of memories in the house, we love our neighbors, we’ve redecorated. The list goes on.  Moving would be hard.  Letting our neighbors know that we are facing financial difficulty would also be really hard.   

So if you are faced with a negative equity position in the current home you live in – you owe $400,000 and it’s worth $200,000, which is common in many San Diego neighborhoods where we work – there is both an emotional and financial decision to be made.  Many who are facing foreclosure do not want to give up the house, yet the cost of keeping it could set you back for years to come, rather than just selling it via a short sale in San Diego.  The pre-foreclosure market has heated up and ironically it may save you $500,000 to sell your home rather than keep it.

A loan modification is attractive for many people because of the emotion attachment to the house.  After all, it is your home, not just some investment to be dumped at a whim. But what if I told you that financially it will cost you about a half a million dollars just to hold that home instead of selling it through a short sale?   

Let’s do the math. 

  • Your house is in San Diego, California and your loan is for $400,000. 
  • It was originated in July of 2007 when you bought your house in Carlsbad, California at a 6.5% fully amortizing rate (meaning you are paying down the loan). 
  • If it is a 30 year loan you will pay $510,177 in interest alone for the loan when it pays off in 2037. 
  • This coupled with paying all the principal would cost you $910,177 to payoff the loan. 

That’s a lot of money!   If you needed to sell the house before the paydown of the loan to sell it at today’s price in San Diego you wouldn’t be able to do that until 2027 – that’s 18 years from now!  Hopefully prices will go up in San Diego in 18 years, but what if you needed to sell in 5 years? In 5 years you would still owe $365,000 – that $162,000 in negative equity to be made up in a very short period of time.   

What if lenders are not granting short sales at that time? You will still not have made any money on that house, you will have paid out $30,339 in interest and principal – AND YOU WILL GET NONE OF IT BACK. The bank still might take your home. 

So let’s look at the scenario where you got out today in a short sale, and bought another house in 1 year, which is possible if you are aggressive with your credit repair.  

  • Sell the house for $200,000 – that’s $200,000 forgiven.
  • Expect a credit hit, but in one year houses will still be dirt cheap. 
  • In San Diego houses are still experiencing a decline in prices.  So say in one year that house is now worth $175,000 and you buy a similar one in the same neighborhood with 10% down. 
  • Your loan would be $157,500. 
  • For comparison sake let’s assume the interest is 6.5%, fully amortizing for 30 years. 
  • Your total interest paid for the life of the loan would only be $200,244. 
  • To pay off the entire loan over 30 years you would end up paying $357,244 

That’s a savings of $552,993.00 – a half a million dollars!

 So by moving on, particularly if you are facing a financial difficulty, you will not only get out of your negative equity situation (and essentially be losing money), but you will save over $500,000 by getting out and getting back in.   

What would you do with that money?  Pay for college education for your kids?  Save up for retirement? Pay off other debts?   

Let me ask you, does it financially make sense to stay in the home?  I know you love it, but separate out the emotions from the finances. 

What ultimately will be better for you?

The Short Sale Process Explained

What Should I Do with My Cash-Negative Rental Property?

Alligator Wranglers – Solutions for those Cash-Negative Investment Properties 

 

Got Alligators?

 

 

 

 With the change in economy some investors may find their investment properties to be hard on the wallet.   The economy has resulted in reduced rental incomes and rents may not  cover all the expense associated with the property.  Compounded with  pay cuts or job losses those alligators need to be fed to sustain themselves, and can quickly eat away the wallet, and leading down a perilous financial road.

 

Don’t Feed the Alligators!

 

What is the best solution to your cash-negative problem? 

Potential Wrangling Solutions:

 

  • Refinance the property – This may result in a better interest rate than your existing loan, that is lower monthly payments.  This is appropriate if you still have equity in your house, and still have a good credit rating.  You can re-finance through a traditional banking institute or approach private investors to refinance the property.  One particular source of refinance that few think of is to approach an investor that has a self-direct IRA.  He/she can use his/her existing retirement fund to invest in mortgages.  This may or may not result in a better interest rate, but many investors that pulled their money out of the stock market and now have it in cash would be please to get a 6% rate of return.  Where can you find this investor?  There are several reputable retirement companies, such as Entrust, that hold regular networking meetings for people with self-directed IRAs.  Research your local market for these companies and you will find investors with money.

  • Payoff the second mortgage – This obviously would result in better cash flow for the investment.  Consider approaching a family member or a trusted investor to pay off part of the debt (such as a second mortgage) in exchange for a share in the future profit.  This will give you debt relief and allow you to keep the property.

  • Loan modification – This may be a good solution for those wanting to keep the investment.  Loan modifications are increasingly becoming possible for investment properties.  Until recently loan modifications were strictly for primary residence.  A loan modification can reduce the interest rate of the loan, and may spread out payments for a longer period of time.  A 40 year mortgage is increasingly becoming popular due to lower monthly payments.  However if you are upside down on your mortgage, you will remain so.  Each lender has strict requirements that the homeowner must meet before a loan modification is considered.

  • Short Sale – A short sale allows you to get out from under your debt through the sale of your house.  If the house has high negative equity (upside down), large negative cash flow, and you have a hardship, this may be your best solutions to the alligator. A short sale minimize your credit damage compared to a foreclosure, it can also eliminate the possibility of a deficiency judgment.  Ultimately a short sale will allow you to move on and start over.

 

  • Deed in-in lieu of foreclosure: You deed the house back to the bank.  It is
    possible if there is only one loan on the house, but you still get a foreclosure on your record.  This is not recommended unless there is no other alternative.

 

  • Chapter 13 Bankruptcy: This re-structures your debt and creates a new repayment plan.  The consequence of this is a bankruptcy on your credit report, which will remain there for up to 10 years.  This does not forgive the debt; it just reorganizes the debt to make it more affordable to you.

Alligators eat your profits

Alligators eat your profits